Eurozone News
LAST UPDATE: May 22, 2025
ECB’s Centeno: Rate Cuts Below Neutral Level May Be Needed to Keep Inflation on Target
ECB policymaker Mario Centeno suggested that interest rates might need to be reduced below the neutral level of 1.5% to 2% to maintain the inflation target of 2%. He emphasized the importance of not allowing monetary policy to push inflation below the desired target amid global trade tensions and economic uncertainty.
Insight
Centeno’s remarks indicate a dovish stance within the ECB, highlighting the delicate balance between supporting economic growth and controlling inflation.
Meloni Looks to Moody’s to Finally End Italy’s Near-Junk Status
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni is anticipating a credit rating upgrade from Moody’s, aiming to lift Italy out of its near-junk status. The potential upgrade reflects Italy’s efforts to implement fiscal reforms and stabilize its economy.
Insight
An upgrade would signal increased investor confidence in Italy’s economic policies, potentially lowering borrowing costs and improving financial stability.
Germany’s Merz: EU Should ‘Ideally’ Scrap Supply Chain Law
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz expressed a preference for the EU to scrap its supply chain audit law, citing concerns over competitiveness. However, his spokesperson clarified that Germany seeks to reform and streamline the law rather than abolish it, aiming to reduce bureaucracy while maintaining ethical standards.
Insight
The debate underscores the tension between regulatory oversight and economic competitiveness within the EU, highlighting the challenges of implementing comprehensive supply chain regulations.
Germany Readying 1.5% of GDP for Dual Military Use Infrastructure, Says Merz
Chancellor Friedrich Merz announced plans to allocate 1.5% of Germany’s GDP toward infrastructure projects with dual military and civilian uses, such as bridges and roads. This is in addition to the 3.5% GDP commitment for military procurement, aligning with NATO requirements.
Insight
The move reflects Germany’s strategic initiative to enhance military readiness and infrastructure resilience amid evolving security challenges.
German ‘Bazooka’ Spending Package Must Be Used Wisely: Experts
Experts caution that Germany’s substantial new public spending, dubbed the ‘bazooka’ package, must be deployed effectively to ensure long-term economic growth. The package includes significant investments in defense and infrastructure, aiming to bolster the country’s economic resilience.
Insight
Effective allocation of the spending package is crucial to avoid fiscal imbalances and to achieve the intended economic stimulus without exacerbating debt levels.
German finance minister and US treasury secretary Bessent met bilaterally, source says
German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil and US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent held a bilateral meeting during the G7 finance ministers’ summit in Banff, Canada, discussing economic cooperation and trade issues.
Insight
The meeting highlights ongoing efforts to strengthen US-Germany economic ties amid global trade tensions.
ECB’s Centeno: rate cuts below neutral level may be needed to keep inflation on target
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker Mario Centeno suggested that the ECB might need to lower its key interest rate below the estimated neutral level of 1.5% to 2% to maintain inflation at the target of 2%. Speaking at a news briefing following the presentation of the Bank of Portugal’s financial stability report, Centeno emphasized the importance of not allowing monetary policy to push inflation below the desired target. He cited global trade tensions and an uncertain economic environment as reasons for adopting a cautious and predictable monetary policy strategy.
Insight
Centeno’s remarks indicate a shift towards a more accommodative monetary policy stance within the ECB, reflecting concerns over deflationary pressures amid global economic uncertainties.
Meloni Looks to Moody’s to Finally End Italy’s Near-Junk Status
Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni is aiming to improve Italy’s credit rating, which is currently near junk status. She is focusing on fiscal discipline and structural reforms to convince Moody’s Investors Service to upgrade the country’s rating. An upgrade would lower borrowing costs and signal confidence in Italy’s economic policies.
Insight
Meloni’s efforts to enhance Italy’s creditworthiness reflect a broader strategy to stabilize the economy and attract investment, crucial for long-term growth.
Germany’s Merz: EU should ‘ideally’ scrap supply chain law
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has called for the European Union to abandon its proposed supply chain audit law, citing concerns over its economic impact. The law, known as the Corporate Sustainability Due Diligence Directive (CSDDD), would require large companies in the EU to ensure their supply chains are free of forced labor and environmental harm, with obligations beginning in 2027. Merz argues that these regulations could hinder Europe’s competitiveness against the U.S. and China.
Insight
Merz’s stance highlights the tension between regulatory oversight and economic competitiveness, emphasizing the need for balanced policies that protect human rights without stifling business operations.
Germany readying 1.5% of GDP for dual military use infrastructure, says Merz
Germany plans to allocate 1.5% of its GDP toward infrastructure with dual military and civilian uses, according to Chancellor Friedrich Merz. This funding is in addition to the country’s commitment to spend 3.5% of its GDP on military procurement in line with NATO requirements. Speaking at a construction industry event, Merz highlighted that the additional funds would be directed toward infrastructure such as bridges and roads that can support military operations.
Insight
The investment underscores Germany’s commitment to enhancing its defense capabilities and infrastructure resilience amid evolving security challenges.
German ‘bazooka’ spending package must be used wisely: experts
Germany’s new government must ensure massive new public spending is deployed carefully so that it boosts growth over the long term, experts said Wednesday. The government’s council of economic experts said the extra public spending, dubbed a fiscal “bazooka” by the media, could lead to up to five additional percentage points of GDP growth by 2029—or have no substantial effect at all. It depended on whether the funds were used for sorely needed structural improvements, or on day-to-day spending that boosts consumption but whose effects quickly fade, they said.
Insight
The effectiveness of Germany’s substantial fiscal stimulus hinges on strategic allocation toward long-term investments rather than short-term consumption.
German finance minister and US treasury secretary Bessent met bilaterally, source says
German Finance Minister Lars Klingbeil and U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent held a bilateral meeting during the G7 finance ministers’ summit in Canada. The discussion focused on strengthening transatlantic ties and resolving trade disputes between Germany and the United States. Both officials reaffirmed the G7’s commitment to supporting Ukraine, and Bessent extended an invitation to Klingbeil for a follow-up meeting in Washington.
Insight
The meeting underscores the importance of U.S.-Germany cooperation in addressing global economic challenges and maintaining unity within the G7.