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LAST UPDATE: June 19, 2025


EU parliament holding hard right at bay — for now

AFP via Barron’s

One year after hard-right parties gained strength in the European Parliament, mainstream centrist groups still hold control. But three right-wing factions now have 187 seats—forming a new force that could influence future policy alliances.

Insight

The centrist “firewall” endures, but its cracks suggest growing influence of the far right. Future coalition-building will shape EU policy balance on issues like migration, climate, and Russia.

Related Countries:EU

EU countries reach deal on new defence funding programme

Reuters

EU member states agreed on a €1.5 billion European Defence Industrial Programme (EDIP) to boost defense spending. It requires at least 65% of costs from EU or associated countries, balancing domestic sourcing with flexibility.

Insight

This compromise blends industrial protectionism with strategic pragmatism. EDIP sets a defense spending precedent while acknowledging Europe’s reliance on non-EU allies in critical sectors.

Related Countries:EU

Germany’s Merz hopes for US-EU tariff agreement ‘in coming days’

Reuters

On June 18, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz expressed optimism that an agreement resolving U.S.–EU tariff disputes could be reached “in the coming days,” following his recent discussions in Washington (marketscreener.com).

Insight

Merz’s upbeat tone underscores the political momentum to ease transatlantic trade tensions. A swift tariff accord would benefit both EU exporters and support global supply-chain stability.

Related Countries:GermanyUSEU

Hungary to extend mortgage rate cap by six months – PM’s chief of staff

Reuters

Hungary’s government announced an extension of its mortgage rate cap on floating‑rate loans for at least another six months. The cap, originally set at ~2.02%, helps shield borrowers from rising interest costs .

Insight

The move reflects ongoing populist economic policy in Hungary, aiming to ease household debt pressures ahead of elections. However, it may postpone necessary market adjustments and strain banks.

Related Countries:Hungary

Serbia seeks new gas deal with Russia at ‘best price in Europe’

Reuters

Serbia’s state energy boss, Dusan Bajatovic, said the country is negotiating a new gas contract with Russia’s Gazprom starting September for 3–10 years, aiming for Europe’s most competitive rate, despite EU import curbs .

Insight

Serbia’s energy policy signals a pragmatic trade-off: balancing EU accession ambitions with economic dependence on Russian gas. The deal may pressure Brussels on energy diversification timelines.

Related Countries:SerbiaRussiaEU

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