Asia Pacific News
LAST UPDATE: June 27, 2025
China’s Industrial Profits Plummet as Trump’s Tariffs Hit
Chinese industrial profits dropped 9.1 % year‑on‑year in May—the steepest decline since October—due to weak demand, falling prices, deflation and U.S. tariffs. While profits in some equipment sectors rose, auto margins plunged, and broader industrial output, exports and housing prices showed contraction. Government measures like trade‑in programs have been introduced to stimulate demand. (ft.com)
Insight
The sharp profit decline signals mounting economic pressure from external and internal factors, suggesting Beijing may need to accelerate fiscal stimulus or shift to a consumption-driven growth model to support industrial firms.
Core inflation in Japan’s capital slows but stays above BOJ target
Tokyo’s core CPI slowed to 3.1 % in June from 3.6 % in May, driven by renewed fuel subsidies and water bill cuts, but remained well above the BOJ’s 2 % target. Food inflation spiked—rice prices up ~89 %—and service prices rose 2.1 %. The BOJ, which exited its stimulus and raised rates to 0.5 % in January, is set to review policy on July 30–31 amid high U.S. tariff pressure.
Insight
Despite temporary relief measures, persistent food and service inflation keeps the BOJ on edge. With underlying CPI still elevated, policymakers may lean toward further tightening, though global headwinds remain a concern.
Japan Braces for Further Pain From US Tariffs, Pledges Support
Japan warned that higher U.S. auto tariffs could increase economic stress and pledged readiness to support affected industries. The government signaled it will intervene efficiently to protect automakers, with negotiators preparing to address tariff issues during upcoming US visits.
Insight
Tokyo is proactively preparing fiscal aid and diplomatic engagement to cushion its automotive sector, recognizing the threat of a 24 % auto tariff and aiming to avoid a trade escalation with the U.S.
South Korea Mulls More Debt Sales After Its Largest Euro Bond
Following its record-setting €1.4 billion eurobond (with over €19 billion orders) in June, South Korea is considering more international debt issuance in H2 2025 to fund reserves and fiscal needs.
Insight
The strong eurobond reception reflects investor confidence in South Korea’s fiscal standing, but further issuance may be aimed at preparing counter-cyclical buffers amid global trade uncertainties.
Trump Teases ‘Big’ India Trade Deal as Negotiators Harden Stance
U.S. President Trump suggested a “very big” trade deal with India is possible after finalizing a China trade truce. Talks are underway in Washington ahead of a July deadline on reciprocal tariffs. India has emphasized that any deal must be fair and mutually beneficial with strategic sectors like rare earths on the agenda.
Insight
The U.S. is pivoting toward Asia by pursuing major trade agreements with both China and India. A deal with India—potentially centered on critical supply chains—could mark a strategic shift in U.S. economic policy in the region.
Thailand will hold trade talks with US next week, finance minister says
Finance Minister Pichai Chunhavajira said he will travel to the US next week to negotiate trade terms before a moratorium on U.S. tariffs ends in July. Under current arrangements, most Thai exports face a 10% tariff, rising to 36% if no deal is reached. Talks aim to lock in favorable rates and extend the tariff pause. (reuters.com)
Insight
Thailand’s government is acting swiftly to avoid a sharp tariff increase that could hit its export-driven economy. Securing a deal will be critical to shield exporters and maintain growth momentum.
Thai Rate Pause Is Lifeline Saved for Turbulence Ahead, BOT Says
The Bank of Thailand has held its key interest rate at 1.75%, labeling the pause a “lifeline” amid global uncertainties. Despite political turmoil and looming U.S. tariffs weighing on sentiment, policymakers noted the decision keeps ammunition available for future rate cuts.
Insight
The BOT is balancing the need to support growth against inflation risks and external shocks. Holding the rate provides leeway to respond if domestic demand falters or trade tensions escalate.
Thailand braces for crisis as trials and protests loom
Thailand is on edge as ex-premier Thaksin Shinawatra faces a lese-majeste trial next week amid mounting political division. Protesters plan rallies, and tensions around sovereignty issues threaten tourism and investor confidence.
Insight
Political instability is intensifying, which may undermine government capacity to pass budgets, manage trade talks, and support economic rebound—posing risks to tourism and foreign investment.
Vietnam Passes Law to Tackle Bank Crisis, Resolving Bad Debts
Vietnam’s legislature approved revisions to the Credit Institutions Law, effective October 15, 2025. The changes codify key provisions from Resolution 42, empowering banks to seize and sell collateral directly, speed up bad debt resolution, and allow zero‑interest lending by the central bank to troubled banks (businesstimes.com.sg, thestar.com.my, vietnamnet.vn).
Insight
By codifying these measures, Vietnam is strengthening its legal framework to tackle non‑performing loans, boosting banking sector liquidity and reducing financial system risks. This proactive move enhances stability and investor confidence in Vietnam’s economy.
Vietnam approves plans for international financial centre amid US trade pressure
Vietnam’s lawmakers approved creating two international financial hubs in Ho Chi Minh City and Danang. HCMC will focus on capital and forex markets; Danang on green finance. The initiative aims to attract global investors and improve financial sector efficiency amid increased trade-related uncertainties.
Insight
Establishing IF centres positions Vietnam as a rising financial hub in ASEAN, enhancing its attractiveness to foreign capital and helping mitigate trade-related vulnerabilities.
Malaysia Says Amir Hamzah Azizan to Oversee Economy Ministry
Malaysia’s Second Finance Minister Amir Hamzah Azizan has been appointed Acting Minister of Economy following Rafizi Ramli’s departure. He will lead the review of the 13th Malaysia Plan, due to Parliament on July 31, 2025, aiming to align it with the “Madani” agenda. Cabinet approval was given on June 25. (theedgemalaysia.com, theguardian.com)
Insight
The reassignment signals continuity in Malaysia’s economic policy under Amir Hamzah, ensuring that the 13th Plan remains aligned with reform priorities even amid political shifts, which may boost investor confidence.