Ukraine-Russia News
LAST UPDATE: July 1, 2025
IMF updates forecast: How long the war in Ukraine could last
The IMF projects that the war in Ukraine could persist through late 2025, with growth at 2–3% and inflation at 9%. A prolonged conflict scenario could weaken recovery and strain external financial support.
Insight
While the IMF’s baseline assumes continued international aid, Ukraine’s fiscal and macro stability are at risk from prolonged war and disrupted reforms. Key assumptions depend on geopolitical resolution.
