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LAST UPDATE: August 1, 2025


Slow US job gains expected in July; unemployment rate forecast rising to 4.2%

Reuters

U.S. nonfarm payrolls are expected to rise by around 110,000 in July, down from June, with the unemployment rate projected to rise to ~4.2% amid softening labor demand (Reuters, Reuters)

Insight

The slowdown in hiring amid trade-related uncertainty signals softening labor conditions. If confirmed, this may influence Fed policy toward maintaining or easing interest rates.

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