Asia Pacific News
LAST UPDATE: September 13, 2025
Thailand: IMF urges new government to exercise caution as public debt soars
The IMF warned Thailand’s incoming government to manage fiscal policy prudently as public debt has climbed close to the 70% of GDP ceiling and buffers need rebuilding. It urged restraint on new spending and better targeting to safeguard long-term stability.
Insight
With debt near the statutory ceiling, Thailand has limited room for stimulus without jeopardizing credibility. The next cabinet’s budget choices will shape investor confidence and the pace of recovery.
China says fiscal support will remain flexible, debt ratio stays reasonable
China’s finance minister said fiscal policy will stay flexible and that the government debt ratio—put at about 68.7% of GDP—is “reasonable,” with room to support growth amid weak demand and property stress.
Insight
Beijing is signaling capacity for further support while downplaying debt risks, but persistent local-government liabilities and property woes mean stimulus must be calibrated to avoid new imbalances.
China pilots village surveillance in Solomon Islands, seeks stability
China began piloting its “Fengqiao” grassroots surveillance model in a Solomon Islands village, introducing biometric collection and community mapping to curb unrest, with plans to expand nationwide.
Insight
The project exports China’s domestic social-control tools into the Pacific, deepening security ties after the 2022 pact and raising civil-liberties concerns that could fuel political backlash.
Taiwan defence ministry to seek up to $33 bn to harden security: lawmaker
A Taiwanese lawmaker said the defense ministry will seek up to US$33 billion in special funding over seven years to harden defenses, with the final amount depending on ongoing arms talks with the U.S.
Insight
The push reflects Taipei’s shift to resilience—stockpiles, fortifications, and asymmetric systems—amid rising PLA pressure. A large special budget would lock in multi-year modernization.
US, Japan Confirm Won’t Manipulate FX for Competitive Advantage
The U.S. and Japan reaffirmed that exchange rates should be market-determined and said interventions should address disorderly moves, not gain advantage, while keeping bilateral FX consultations open.
Insight
The language preserves Tokyo’s option to smooth yen volatility without inviting “manipulation” allegations, offering policy space as FX remains sensitive to rate and trade frictions.
Nepal Holds Talks on Interim Leadership After Deadly Unrest
Nepal’s protest leaders and the army held talks to agree on an interim leader after deadly unrest forced political upheaval, as authorities sought to restore order in Kathmandu.
Insight
The military’s role in brokering a caretaker setup underscores the fragility of civilian institutions; the choice of leader will influence whether calm holds and reforms proceed.
Cambodia’s Central Bank Plays Down Fallout From US Tariffs
Cambodia’s central bank chief said new U.S. tariffs have had limited impact so far, downplaying fears of investor flight or factory relocations from the garment-heavy economy.
Insight
The reassurances aim to steady sentiment, but sustained tariffs could erode competitiveness over time; diversification and value-added upgrading remain critical.
Indonesia May Top Up $12 Billion Injection to State Banks
Indonesia is considering increasing an already planned ~$12 billion liquidity injection into state-owned banks to boost lending and support growth.
Insight
The move reflects urgency in stimulating the financial system; success depends on whether banks turn the funds into productive credit rather than letting them sit idle or flow into low-impact assets.
Indonesia Takes Over Mines and Plantations as Crackdown Broadens
The government has begun seizing mines and plantations that allegedly violate environmental or licensing regulations, broadening its regulatory enforcement over natural resource sectors.
Insight
Such seizures aim to enforce legality, boost state revenue, and correct environmental harm; however, investor confidence could suffer if property rights and due process are perceived as weak.
RBA Warns Geopolitical Upheaval Shows ‘Peace Dividend Is Over’
The Reserve Bank of Australia warned that geopolitical instability is ending the era of stable gains from peace and globalization, meaning higher risk and more uncertainty for trade, investment, and supply chains.
Insight
This suggests Australia must adapt policy and strategy to a world with deeper structural risk, including supply-chain diversification, higher defense or security spending, and greater buffer capacity.
New Zealand’s Consumer Spending Drop Hints at Shrinking Economy
Consumer spending in New Zealand fell in the June quarter, adding to signs that the economy may be contracting despite earlier hopes for recovery.
Insight
Falling consumption could force policymakers to rely more on fiscal stimulus or structural reforms; weak domestic demand may lead to lower investment and employment unless external demand picks up.
China says fiscal support will remain flexible, debt ratio stays reasonable
China’s finance minister said that the government will maintain flexible fiscal policy and assured that the debt-to-GDP ratio remains reasonable even as the economy faces challenges in demand and the property sector.
Insight
This stance is aimed at reassuring markets and preserving policy space; but underlying risks—such as local government debt and hidden liabilities—remain and will test the credibility of the “reasonable” claim.
China pilots village surveillance in Solomon Islands, seeks stability
China has begun piloting a surveillance and community mapping program in a village in the Solomon Islands using a model similar to its domestic programs, with plans to expand.
Insight
Exporting surveillance and governance models abroad may deepen China’s influence in the Pacific, but raises concerns about privacy, sovereignty, and how such tools could be used for political control.
Taiwan defence ministry to seek up to $33 bn to harden security: lawmaker
A Taiwanese lawmaker says the defense ministry plans to request up to US$33 billion over seven years to strengthen defensive infrastructure and capabilities, with final amounts dependent on arms deals.
Insight
This marks a shift toward long-term preparedness and resilience in Taiwan’s defense posture; securing funding and maintaining legislative support will be key to implementation.
US, Japan Confirm Won’t Manipulate FX for Competitive Advantage
The U.S. and Japan reaffirmed that they will not manipulate their currencies for trade advantages, insisting that exchange rates be market-driven, with any intervention limited to preventing disorderly market behavior.
Insight
The joint stance helps reduce fears of competitive devaluation; Japan retains flexibility in dealing with yen volatility but must navigate carefully to avoid perceptions of unfair intervention amid global scrutiny.
Nepal Holds Talks on Interim Leadership After Deadly Unrest
Following deadly protests, Nepalese leaders, including military figures, are engaging in discussions about forming an interim leadership to stabilize the country.
Insight
Civil unrest signals deeper political dissatisfaction; choices about interim leadership will influence whether reforms proceed, whether trust is restored, or whether instability persists.
Cambodia’s Central Bank Plays Down Fallout From US Tariffs
Cambodia’s central bank chief has said that although U.S. tariffs have raised concerns, so far the economic damage has been limited and there has been no mass exodus of manufacturing investment.
Insight
While the statement may calm investor nerves, prolonged tariffs may still pose risk especially to export-driven sectors; Cambodia may need to diversify trade links or upgrade value-add to stay competitive.
China Gives Mexico Stiff Warning Over Tariffs Seen Appeasing US
China has cautioned Mexico over proposed tariff increases on Chinese imports, suggesting that moves may be interpreted as yielding to U.S. pressure and could invite diplomatic or trade backlash.
Insight
Mexico must balance its domestic protectionist pressures with diplomatic risk; overly aggressive tariffs might satisfy domestic constituencies but damage long-term trade relations and provoke retaliation.
Sheinbaum Aims to Calm China Tensions After Tariff Plan Backlash
Mexican President Sheinbaum is working to ease tensions with China following criticism of her government’s proposed high tariffs on Chinese goods, arguing that the measures are meant to protect domestic industries and predate recent U.S. trade policy changes.
Insight
Her diplomatic efforts may prevent escalation, but the tension underscores how trade policy is increasingly caught between domestic political urgency and international strategic competition.
Peru Cuts Key Interest Rate to Three-Year Low of 4.25%
Peru’s central bank has reduced its key policy interest rate to 4.25%, the lowest in three years, citing falling inflation and weaker demand.
Insight
Lower rates may support recovery, but risks include capital outflows, currency depreciation, and reduced ability to tighten policy if inflation returns; trade-offs will be harder in volatile external environment.

