Middle East & Central Asia News
LAST UPDATE: June 12, 2025
Oman confirms next round of US‑Iran nuclear talks amid fears of regional risks
Oman confirmed the sixth round of U.S.–Iran nuclear negotiations will take place Sunday in Muscat, as tensions rise—echoing U.S. evacuations of non‑essential personnel in Iraq, Bahrain, and Kuwait amid unstated security threats.
Insight
Oman’s affirmation underscores its role as a neutral facilitator in U.S.–Iran dialogue, even amid heightened regional tensions. The dialogue’s success hinges on whether both sides can restrain hardliners and translate summit diplomacy into concrete agreements.
US to pull some personnel from the Middle East amid rising tensions with Iran
The U.S. State Department ordered non-essential diplomatic staff to leave its embassy in Baghdad, with voluntary departures allowed from Bahrain and Kuwait. President Trump cited escalating risks, and oil prices surged ~4% following evacuations.
Insight
The partial drawdown signals U.S. concern over potential spill-over from stalled nuclear talks and Israeli‑Iran dynamics. It serves as both a precaution and a pressure tool that may influence Iran’s negotiating posture.
IAEA board declares Iran in breach of non-proliferation obligations
The IAEA’s Board of Governors officially declared Iran in violation of its nuclear non‑proliferation commitments and announced counter‑measures. A senior Iranian official revealed a friendly nation warned Tehran of a potential Israeli strike.
Insight
This breach designation raises the stakes for the upcoming Oman talks, increasing international pressure on Iran. The threat of escalation—both diplomatic and military—builds urgency for a viable agreement.
Iran will not compromise on right to enrichment, says official
A senior Iranian official stated that Iran will not abandon its uranium enrichment rights, adding that a friendly country had warned it of a potential Israeli strike, suggesting external pressure to shift Iran’s negotiating stance.
Insight
Iran’s firm stance highlights a key impasse in negotiations: enrichment is a non‑negotiable core interest. External warnings may stiffen Tehran’s resolve, complicating diplomatic flexibility.
Uzbekistan’s central bank holds rates at 14%
The Central Bank of Uzbekistan maintained its benchmark interest rate at 14% during this week’s policy meeting, citing price stability goals amid moderating inflation.
Insight
The decision reflects cautious monetary policy aimed at anchoring inflation expectations, supporting medium-term objectives while balancing growth at an estimated 5–6 % GDP expansion.
