EUR News
LAST UPDATE: June 27, 2025
Von Der Leyen Says EU Will Be Ready If US Trade Talks Break Down
European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stated the EU is prepared for every outcome in trade talks with the U.S., including a breakdown. The EU has received a new U.S. proposal and is assessing it, while contingency plans—including retaliatory tariffs—are being prepared ahead of the July 9 deadline when U.S. tariffs could jump to 50% if no deal is reached. (bloomberg.com, theguardian.com)
Insight
Von der Leyen’s stance shows the EU balancing openness with strategic firmness. By preparing retaliatory measures while negotiating, the EU is signaling resilience and readiness to protect its interests if talks collapse.
Macron: EU should not accept an unbalanced trade deal
French President Emmanuel Macron emphasized that while France supports a quick and pragmatic trade agreement with the U.S., the EU must avoid accepting an imbalanced deal. He warned that any relief (e.g., 10% baseline tariffs) must be matched with EU concessions, urging that goodwill not be mistaken for weakness.
Insight
Macron seeks to safeguard EU’s negotiating power, insisting on equivalence in concessions. His remarks reflect concern that hasty diplomacy could cost Europe structural leverage in future global trade relations.
Germany’s Merz urges ‘quick and simple’ EU-US trade deal
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz called for a “quick and simple” trade deal between the EU and the U.S. before the July 9 tariff deadline, arguing that a comprehensive agreement isn’t feasible under the tight timeline. He also endorsed reforming the WTO and backing the Mercosur deal.
Insight
Merz’s approach prioritizes protecting key export sectors like autos, chemicals, and steel by striking a timely deal—even if limited. His support for WTO reform highlights a strategic shift towards more agile trade governance.
Merz ‘delusional’ over US sparing German cars in EU trade deal
EU officials criticized Chancellor Merz for expecting the U.S. to exempt German car exports from potential new tariffs under a proposed deal. The FT reported that U.S. priorities lie in reshoring automotive and steel production, making sector carve-outs unlikely; retaliatory tariffs remain in Brussels’ toolkit.
Insight
The critique illustrates internal EU friction: while Germany seeks sector-specific protection, others consider it unrealistic. This tension could complicate unified EU negotiation strategy if expectations diverge too sharply.
How Turkey’s struggling economy is hurting Erdoğan
Turkey’s economy is in crisis—soaring inflation (around 40%), bankruptcies, and eroded investor confidence. Though orthodox policies briefly helped, political unrest—including the arrest of opposition figures—triggered renewed turmoil. As a result, emergency interest hikes drained reserves and business outlooks dimmed. (ft.com, reuters.com)
Insight
The crisis is undermining Erdoğan’s base by highlighting the cost of his unorthodox economic policies and authoritarian governance. Reforms risk being sidelined as he may prioritize short-term popularity over long-term stabilization.