US News
LAST UPDATE: October 14, 2025
Economists see stronger US growth, but weak job gains and stickier inflation
Economists expect U.S. GDP growth to accelerate to about 1.8% in 2025, but warn that job growth will remain sluggish and inflation may prove more persistent.
Insight
The divergence between output growth and labor market strength complicates the Fed’s decision-making, raising the risk of policy missteps.
ANALYSIS-How the United States is eating Trump’s tariffs
U.S. firms and consumers are finding ways to circumvent or absorb newly imposed tariffs via supply chain shifts, pricing strategies, and sourcing alternatives.
Insight
The hidden costs and behavioral adjustments indicate the real impact of tariffs is more diffuse and harder to quantify than headline figures suggest.
