Global Economy

The IMF projects 3% global growth in 2026, but the Middle East war leaves energy importers, food security and trade routes exposed.

OPEC+ may stop raising oil output after September as recovering supply, soft demand and volatile Gulf flows reshape the 2026 market balance.

The World Bank says a prolonged Middle East energy shock combined with financial stress could cut 2026 global growth to 1.3%.

Fitch expects developed-market government debt to reach a record $75.8 trillion in 2026. Higher refinancing costs are testing budgets and bond markets.

Multilateral development banks committed a record US$163 billion in climate finance in 2025. The report’s details matter for sovereign risk, private-capital mobilisation and infrastructure investment.

The IEA warns that diesel and gasoline markets remain tight despite recovering crude supply, raising inflation and sovereign credit risks.

Russia’s diesel export cutoff tightens global fuel supply, raising inflation, freight, credit, and sovereign risks for import-dependent economies.

The IMF says artificial intelligence could help offset the global economic slowdown caused by geopolitical conflicts, while warning of growing risks from inflation, labor disruption, market concentration, and financial stability.

Explore how potential US-China agricultural tariff cuts could ease trade tensions, influence commodity markets, strengthen global supply chains, and reshape investment risks for exporters and international businesses.

OPEC+ is expected to raise oil output targets again from August, raising new questions about crude prices, global inflation, central bank policy, and fiscal risks for oil-exporting economies.